![]() ![]() In other countries, however, deaths due to Covid-19 may be more frequently misdiagnosed and under-reported and pandemic-mitigation policies might have induced greater changes in deaths from other causes. Due to the relative efficiency of their mortality reporting, these countries (mostly European, plus the USA and a few countries in East Asia and Oceania) do account for a substantial share of the global deaths attributed to Covid-19 to date. 2014), providing a 70-year benchmark for assessing the direction and magnitude of mortality changes.Īnalyses of timely, high-quality vital statistics from about 40 upper-middle- and high-income nations have already demonstrated declines in life expectancies between 20 (Aburto et al. The United Nations (UN) regularly updates and makes available life expectancy estimates for every country, various country aggregates and the world for every year since 1950 ( Gerland, Raftery, Ševčíková et al. More broadly, life expectancy is commonly taken as a marker of human progress, for instance in aggregate indices such as the Human Development Index ( United Nations Development Programme 2020). Period life expectancy at birth is the most-frequently used indicator of mortality conditions. Since 1950, annual declines of that magnitude had only been observed in rare occasions, such as Cambodia in the 1970s, Rwanda in the 1990s, and possibly some sub-Saharan African nations at the peak of the HIV/AIDS pandemic. Uncertainty about its exact size aside, this represents the first decline in global life expectancy since 1950, the first year for which a global estimate is available from the United Nations.Īnnual declines in life expectancy (from a 12-month period to the next) appear to have exceeded two years at some point before the end of 2021 in at least 50 countries. 72 years between 20, but the decline seems to have ended during the last quarter of 2021. The global life expectancy appears to have declined by. This article reports on changes in life expectancies around the world as far as they can be estimated from the evidence available at the end of 2021. ![]() Extant data, though imperfect, suggest that the bulk of the pandemic-induced mortality might have occurred elsewhere. Timely, high-quality mortality data have allowed for assessments of the impact of Covid-19 on life expectancies in upper-middle- and high-income countries. ![]()
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